Logik und Erkenntnistheorie. Stuttgart, 1906. Yakovets, Y.V. At the Sources of a New Civilisation. International Kondratieff Foundation. Moskow, 1993. Zaldivar, C., MoCastells. Spain Beyond the Myths. Madrid, 1992. Zon, H. Alternative Scenarios for Central Europe. London, 1994. Science and Sustainability. Selected Papers on IIASA's 20th Anniversary, Vienna.1992. The World Almanac (and Book of Facts). USA, 1992. Public Administration in Japan, Tokyo, 1982. Banking in Switzerland, Zurich, 1990. Why Future Generations Now, Conference 3-14th June 1992. Rio de Janeiro, Brasil. ( These figures are collated from various sources. It should be noted that accurate population counts began after the 18th century. Despite the approximate nature of the figures up to that point, the trend towards growth is unmistakeable. See Britannica Micropaedia. Population. World Data. C.1993.) 2 A.Toynbee. Selected Works: Bibliotheca Idei. Sofia. University Publishers, 1992, page 32. 3 The term civilisation (the level of development, the rejection of barbarism) appears to have been first used in 1704 (civiliser - French) to make more cultured, to remove from the state of barbarism. See also. J.Lukac. The End of the Twentieth Century, page 284. 4 This figure is based on the analyses carried out by Toynby and also on comparisons I have carried out using the Encyclopedia Britannica. See. Propaedia. The history of Mankind. 5 Plato. The Republic. Books 2 and 4. S. Nauka I izkustvo. 1981. 6 K. Kautski. Origins of christianity. S., 1995. p. 366 7 P.Kennedy. The Rise and the Fall of the Great Power. N.Y. p.56 8 P.Kennedy. The Rise and the Fall of the Great Powers (see table) 9 Although between Hobson, Hilferding and Lenin there are certain differences about the historical fate of imperialism, their works relating to its origin and features are worth of academic recognition. [see. J.Hobson, Imperialism, L.1902, R.Hilferding, Financial Capital, L.1910. V.Lenin, Imperialism as the supreme state of capitalism, Essay No.5, Volume 27] 10 P.Kennedy. The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers [see table] 11 P.Kennedy. The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers. Table 28, p.299. N. Y. 1887. * Under 50 000. Source: Political Economy, Moscow, 1975. P. 150. 12 Bzezinski. The Great Failure, Sofia 1991, pages 21-54 13 The concept of the evolutionary rebirth of monopolistic capitalism, of a society of trusts and cartels within a single world "super trust" or in other words a united world society governed from a single centre (a single super trust). The author of this concept was K.Kautski, 1915 14 According to the Brent Wood (USA) agreement in 1944 a system of international financial organisations was established resulting in the American dollar becoming the leading currency in international finances. In the 1980's this "system" was profoundly changed 15 See V.I. Lenin, collected works, vol.27, page 408 16 See also Z. Brzezinsky. The Great Collapse. S., 1981 (Statistics). 17 In the summer of 1986, the Bulgarian leader, T.Zhivkov published what for the time was a courageous reformist article entitled the "July Conception". It received much criticism from Mikhail Gorbachev and his entourage since it raised questions about the leading role of the communist party. Of course the Bulgarian leaders bowed under the pressure of "comradely advice". 18 See Z. Brzezinsky. The Great Collapse. Appendiy. 19 Hundreds of books have been written on the subject of the development of the Stalinist regime. Some of them give a particulary vivid description of the essence of this process - e.g. D.Volkogonov - Stalin. Triumph and Tragedy - 4 volumes. Moscow 1991. 20 Ludwig Von Mizes. Socialism. M., 1994. Introduction. 21 This can be seen in all of the speeches made by Mikhail Gorbachev. For Example M.S. Gorbachev. On the process of implementing the decisions of the XXVII congress of the CPSU and tasks connected with the advancement of Perestroika. Moscow 1988. 22 There is no doubt the Gorbachev was frequently advised to use the army to restore "law and order" and the status quo. Ifhe had given in to such advice this would not only have returned the reform process to its initial starting point but would also have caused conflicts involving the spilling of blood. 23 At this time G. Yanaev was Vice President of the USSR. V. Pavlov was Prime Minister and V. Kruchkov -- Head of the KGB. 24 According to a number of writers, including the last advisor the Soviet president - Andrei Grachov, the decisive factors for the resignation of Mikhail Gorbachev were the opinion of the Minister of Defence, B.Shaposhnikov and his support for Boris Yeltsin. In a conversation I had in December 1995 A.Grachov once more re-iterated his astonishment at this fact and described it as the key factor in the collapse of the USSR. 25 The Madrid summit meeting of the member states of the EU spoke eloquently of this. Even if the deadline for the introduction of the common currency is postponed there is apparently no doubt of its eventual implementation. 26 The statistics in this paragraph are taken from the Economist - World in figures L., 1994 27 K. Marx. Das Kapital. V.1. C., 1984. P.484. 28 This was the dominant thesis of the leaders of on the leading parties in Bulgaria -- the union of democratic forces between 1990--1993. 29 J. Grey. Liberalism. Sofia. 1991. P. 92. 30 V. Lenin. Complete Works. V. 29. P. 121. 31 These three conclusions were developed for the first time in my books "Socialisation and democratic centralism" (1987) and "Socialism and Self Management" (1989)". 32 A.Toffler. Forecasts and pre-conditions, Sofia, 1991, page 64 33 A.Toffler - Ibid 34 See Fortune, 1995, April, August 35 The Best Companies To Work For In America. N.Y. 1993. P. 285. 36 Samuel Huntington. The Clash of Civilisations? Democratic review ed.2-3, 1995, page 167 37 Foreign Affairs, vol.72, No.4, page 16 38 A. Toffler. "The Shock of the Future". S., 1991. 39 See Creating A New History For Future Generations. Ed. By T. Him and J. Dator. Kyoto. 1994. 40 J. K. Galbraith. The Anatomy of Power. S., 1993, p. 54. 41 A. Toffler. Forecasts and Preconditions. 42 Employee Ownership. National Center for Employee ownership, 1985, p. 53. 43 Calculated on the basis of "Germany's top 500", Frankfurt/Main 1995. 44 A. Toffler. Forecasts and Preconditions. 45 P.Drucker. Post-capitalist society. Harper, 1994, p.96 46 J.Stalin. Economic problems of the development of socialism in the USSR (in his book, J.V.Stalin on the Socialist Economy). Sofia 1955. 47. P.Drucker. Post Capitalist Society. N.Y.,1994 47 P. Drucker. Post Capitalist Society. N. Y., 1994. 48 See. H.Genov. The Path of the Dragon. Sofia, 1992. 49 L.R.Braun. K.Braun and S.Pastel. I. The Condition of the Planet (A Picture of a Stable Society). S.1990.II. Thinking about Future Generations. Tokyo.1994 50 R.Allen. Mathematical economics. (Russian translation) Moscow. 1963. 51 Leon Walras. Elements of Pure Economics. L.1954. 52 What I am referring to here is Marx's claim that during the historical processes "the civil society will come again to engulf the state". This conclusion which he came to during the period of the Paris Commune (France 1871) was entirely ignored by the majority of his followers and especially the founder of "real socialism". 53 Member of the Politburo of the Central Committee of the CPSU with responsibility for ideology during the term of Gorbachev. 54 St. Gill and D. Law. The Global political economy, p. 151. 55 UNCTAD World Investment Report. 1993. 56 The world in 1996. L., 1995, p. 113. 57 Based on statistics by M.Porter. The Competitive Advantage. N.Y., 1990 58 Jacques Atalie. The Millenium. Sofia. P. 52. 59 The Federal Reserve system fulfils the role of the central bank in the USA. It is currently under the directorship of A.Greenspan. 60 Based on "The Economist" World in Figures, L.1994. 61 Based on the "The Economist","World in Figures" L.1994. 62 Inc. Middle East. 63 Republics of the Former Soviet Union. 64 The military balance 1994--5. UK;Brassey. 65 Jacques Atalie. The Millenium. S., 1992, page 15. ?? THE FOURTH CIVILISATION ALEXANDER TOMOV